Quorly
Join free
Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34%▲ 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58%▼ 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41%▲ 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52%▼ 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71%▲ 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22%▼ 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47%▲ 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62%▲ 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44%▲ 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58%▼ 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68%▲ 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24%▼ 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36%▲ 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74%▲ 1%Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34%▲ 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58%▼ 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41%▲ 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52%▼ 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71%▲ 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22%▼ 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47%▲ 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62%▲ 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44%▲ 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58%▼ 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68%▲ 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24%▼ 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36%▲ 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74%▲ 1%
Legislation Tracker
H.R. 940IntroducedEducationPrivacyTechnology

Restrict how ed-tech companies use student data

Student Data Privacy Act

1
Introduced
2
Committee
3
Passed House
4
Passed Senate
5
Law

Plain-language summary

AI

This bill sets federal rules for the student data that school software collects: no sale of data, no ad targeting based on it, mandatory deletion when districts ask, and parental visibility into recommendation algorithms used in classroom apps. It was introduced in May 2026 and awaits committee referral action.

AI-generated explanation. Review the official text and official sources before drawing conclusions — summaries can omit important detail.

The strongest case on each side

Strongest argument for

Schools effectively compel students to use software whose data practices neither parents nor districts can meaningfully audit; children cannot consent, so a bright-line ban on sale and ad targeting is the appropriate default. FERPA predates the entire ed-tech industry.

Strongest argument against

Broad data-use restrictions can prohibit the analytics that make adaptive-learning software work, and small ed-tech firms bear compliance costs that entrench the largest platforms. State student-privacy laws already cover most districts with more local flexibility.

Both cases are presented in their strongest form. Quorly does not take a side.

What it changes — and what it doesn't

What it changes
  • •Bans sale of K-12 student data and ad targeting based on it
  • •Districts can compel deletion of student records
  • •Parents may review algorithmic recommendations shown to their children
What it does NOT change
  • ○Does NOT restrict data use for grading, instruction, or safety functions
  • ○Does NOT preempt stricter state student-privacy laws

Timeline

  1. May 28, 2026
    Introduced in the House by Rep. Priya Shah (D)

Discussion

3 comments
L
Liberty1776Top Forecaster3h

The committee calendar is the tell here. Watch whether a markup actually gets scheduled before the August recess — floor speeches are noise, markup dates are signal.

D
DataDrivenAnalyst6h

Cosponsor count has been the best single predictor in my model this cycle. Cross the ~200 mark in the House and passage odds roughly double, controlling for committee.

P
PolicyOracle1d

Worth reading the strongest-against section before taking a position — the implementation questions are where most bills like this actually stall, not the politics.

Sponsor

Official portrait of Rep. Nancy Pelosi
Rep. Nancy Pelosi
DDemocrat
54cosponsors
House Education & the Workforce

Community sentiment

Live
82%
of respondents support this bill
Support
82%
Oppose
10%
Not sure
8%

Public Pulse demonstration sample · not a scientific poll

Related forecast markets

No linked forecast markets for this bill yet.

Forecasts use virtual Q Credits with no cash value. Market probabilities reflect participant expectations and can be incorrect.
Demonstration data — not a live government record