AP
Demonstration data — not a live government recordAP-NORC
News agency + university research center partnershipNonpartisanAAPOR Transparency Initiative
27
Polls in Quorly
94/100
Avg transparency
2.6 pts
Historical error
2011
Founded
Latest polls
AP-NORC Monthly Omnibus — State of the Nation
Jun 11, 2026–Jun 16, 2026 · n=1,143 A · AmeriSpeak probability panel (web + phone)
28%100
AP-NORC Social Issues Survey
Jun 11, 2026–Jun 16, 2026 · n=1,143 A · AmeriSpeak probability panel (web + phone)
61%100
Election accuracy by cycle
2020
3.3pt
2022
2.8pt
2024
2.6pt
Mean absolute error in final-week election polls. Issue polls are never scored as election predictions, and one bad cycle is not a permanent penalty.
Methods
AmeriSpeak probability panel, Phone + web mixed mode. Transparency, methodology, historical accuracy, sponsorship, and political orientation are always displayed separately — never blended into one mystery score.