PE

Pew Research Center

Nonprofit, nonpartisan research centerNonpartisanAAPOR Transparency Initiative
Demonstration data — not a live government record
33
Polls in Quorly
96/100
Avg transparency
2.1 pts
Historical error
2004
Founded

Election accuracy by cycle

2020
2.8pt
2022
2.3pt
2024
2.1pt

Mean absolute error in final-week election polls. Issue polls are never scored as election predictions, and one bad cycle is not a permanent penalty.

Methods
American Trends Panel (probability web), Mail recruitment. Transparency, methodology, historical accuracy, sponsorship, and political orientation are always displayed separately — never blended into one mystery score.
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