RA
Demonstration data — not a live government recordRasmussen Reports
Private polling firmIndependent; analysts note a Republican-leaning house effect
44
Polls in Quorly
58/100
Avg transparency
4.2 pts
Historical error
2003
Founded
Latest polls
Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking
Jun 29, 2026–Jul 1, 2026 · n=1,500 LV · IVR + online panel
48%38
Election accuracy by cycle
2020
4.9pt
2022
4.4pt
2024
4.2pt
Mean absolute error in final-week election polls. Issue polls are never scored as election predictions, and one bad cycle is not a permanent penalty.
Methods
IVR, Online panel. Transparency, methodology, historical accuracy, sponsorship, and political orientation are always displayed separately — never blended into one mystery score.