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Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34%▲ 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58%▼ 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41%▲ 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52%▼ 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71%▲ 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22%▼ 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47%▲ 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62%▲ 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44%▲ 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58%▼ 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68%▲ 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24%▼ 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36%▲ 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74%▲ 1%Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34%▲ 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58%▼ 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41%▲ 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52%▼ 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71%▲ 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22%▼ 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47%▲ 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62%▲ 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44%▲ 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58%▼ 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68%▲ 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24%▼ 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36%▲ 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74%▲ 1%

Neutrality & Transparency

Quorly is a measurement instrument. These commitments keep the instrument honest — and keep every one of them auditable.

Demonstration data — not a live government record

Ownership & revenue transparency

Quorly is an independent company. It is not owned, funded, or directed by any political party, campaign, PAC, or advocacy organization, and it accepts no political advertising. Any investor holding 5% or more is disclosed on this page, alongside our annual transparency report.

Revenue comes from users and institutions paying for tools and aggregated data — never from selling attention to political actors. If the money ever shaped the measurement, the product would be worthless; transparency here is self-interest.

Revenue mix (demo figures)
Subscriptions
58%
API & data
24%
Widgets
11%
Creator fees
7%
Political ad revenue: $0 — category does not exist

No purchasable rankings, scores, or reach

Structural, not policy

Every ranked or scored surface on Quorly is computed from public, documented inputs. None of the following can be bought, by anyone, at any price:

Leaderboard rank
Earned by resolved forecast accuracy only
Transparency & confidence scores
Computed from published criteria only
Feed reach & distribution
No boosts, no promoted organic posts
Representation Gap placement
Recorded votes cannot be edited for money
Market probabilities
Credits can't be bought, so prices can't be bought
Verification badges
Identity check, not a payment

Sponsored-content labeling

The only sponsored surface Quorly permits is clearly-labeled, non-political sponsorship of neutral features (for example, a data-tools company sponsoring the election-night dashboard). The rules:

  • Every sponsored unit carries a persistent “Sponsored” label — visible on every frame, not just the first.
  • Sponsors get zero influence over rankings, editorial framing, market questions, or moderation.
  • Political candidates, parties, PACs, and issue-advocacy groups are ineligible to sponsor anything.
  • Sponsorships are listed in the public transparency report with amounts.
Sponsored← Exactly this label, in this position, on anything paid. If it isn't labeled, it isn't sponsored.

What campaigns can never do here

  • Buy placement in rankings, search results, or the feed
  • Purchase, edit, or suppress a Representation Gap entry or accountability score
  • Access any individual user's opinions, Pulse votes, or forecast positions
  • Micro-target users by inferred ideology — we do not build ideology profiles to target
  • Pay to remove, bury, or reorder polls, markets, or community notes
  • Run political advertising on Quorly — there is none to buy

Campaigns and officials are welcome as ordinary verified accounts — posting, answering constituents, and being measured like everyone else. What they can never be is customers of influence.

Moderation appeal path

1
Notice

Any moderation action arrives with the specific rule cited and the content in question.

2
Appeal

One click from the notice; you can attach context and sources. No fee, no character limit.

3
Fresh reviewer

A different human reviewer — never the original decision-maker — re-examines the case.

4
Written outcome

You receive the outcome with reasoning within 72 hours. Reversals restore content and clear the strike.

Appeal outcomes are tracked and published in aggregate (upheld vs. reversed, by rule) in the transparency report — a moderation system that is never reversed is a moderation system that is never checked.

Correction policy

When Quorly itself gets a number or a fact wrong:

  • The correction is applied in place, with the prior value shown struck through — we correct, we don't silently overwrite.
  • A dated correction note is attached to the affected page permanently.
  • Corrections of consequence (anything cited in the press or affecting a resolved market) are announced on the platform changelog.
  • A public corrections log lists every correction, newest first. An empty log would mean no one is looking.

Related: Methodology · Community Standards · Privacy Center