Economist/YouGov Generic Ballot
Exact question wording
“If an election for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district?”
Democratic
47%
Republican
45%
Other / unsure
8%
Change from previous wave: +1 pts
Three-signal comparison
National Polling Avg
47.2%
Public Pulse
46%
Forecast Prob
48%
Three separate measurements — what people want, what our community says, what forecasters expect. Never blended.
Quorly Poll Analyst
This registered voters survey of 1,421 respondents was conducted Jun 27, 2026–Jun 30, 2026 via online panel (matched sample). The reported margin of error is ±3.2 points, so differences inside that range may not be meaningful. Population and mode matter when comparing this result with other polls on the same topic — registered-voter and adult samples are not interchangeable.
AI-generated interpretation. Review the original poll and methodology before drawing conclusions.
Transparency 88/100
Full question wording released
Complete topline results
Crosstabs published
Weighting variables disclosed
Field dates disclosed
Sample size & MoE disclosed
Sponsor / funder disclosed
Microdata or raw data available
Transparency measures disclosure — not whether the result is favorable or accurate.
Methodology
Field datesJun 27, 2026 – Jun 30, 2026
PublishedJul 2, 2026
Sample1,421 Registered voters
GeographyNational
ModeOnline panel (matched sample)
Margin of error±3.2 pts
Demonstration data — not an actual polling result.