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Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34%▲ 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58%▼ 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41%▲ 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52%▼ 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71%▲ 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22%▼ 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47%▲ 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62%▲ 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44%▲ 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58%▼ 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68%▲ 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24%▼ 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36%▲ 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74%▲ 1%Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34%▲ 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58%▼ 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41%▲ 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52%▼ 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71%▲ 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22%▼ 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47%▲ 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62%▲ 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44%▲ 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58%▼ 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68%▲ 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24%▼ 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36%▲ 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74%▲ 1%

Official Government VideoExtended excerptDemonstration data — not a live government record

Speaker Johnson on the June floor calendar: border bill scheduled, trading ban unmentioned

Speaker's Weekly Press ConferenceEvent: May 30, 2026Published: May 30, 2026287K views · 2.2K comments

This clip is an excerpt from a longer recording. View the full source before drawing conclusions.

Transcript

AI transcript · human-verified

0:31

Speaker Johnson: Border security modernization will be on the floor the week of the 16th. That is a promise kept to our members.

1:58

Reporter: Will the trading-ban companion get a vote before August, Mr. Speaker?

2:03

Speaker Johnson: We are reviewing what the Senate sends us. Existing disclosure law needs to be enforced before we stack new regimes on top of it.

AI-generated summary and transcript. Review the original video and transcript for complete context.

The Speaker walks through the June legislative calendar. H.R. 410 receives floor time; reporters press twice on the Senate companion to the trading ban without a scheduling commitment.

Probability movement

38%→34%

The market moved shortly after this press conference. This does not independently prove the video caused the movement.

Speakers

Rep. Mike Johnson

Speaker of the House

Related market

Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?

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Ban stock trading by members of Congress

Rights & attribution

RightsOfficial government reuse permitted

SourceSpeaker's Weekly Press Conference

View full original source

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