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Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34%▲ 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58%▼ 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41%▲ 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52%▼ 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71%▲ 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22%▼ 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47%▲ 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62%▲ 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44%▲ 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58%▼ 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68%▲ 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24%▼ 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36%▲ 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74%▲ 1%Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34%▲ 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58%▼ 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41%▲ 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52%▼ 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71%▲ 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22%▼ 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47%▲ 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62%▲ 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44%▲ 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58%▼ 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68%▲ 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24%▼ 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36%▲ 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74%▲ 1%
Official portrait of Sen. Mark Kelly

Sen. Mark Kelly

Democrat
U.S. Senate · Arizona · Term ends Jan 3, 2029 · Next election Nov 7, 2028
Armed ServicesIntelligence126.8K followers
The portrait is this official's real congressional photo (public domain). All votes, scores, promises, and gap figures on this page are simulated demonstration data tied to this demo's fictional bills — not this official's actual record.

Senator from Arizona and former astronaut. In this demo scenario a border-state Democrat who negotiated the detention-standards compromise in the border package.

Representation Index — five separate measurements, never one blended score

Promise Delivery
Kept
50%
Partial
23%
Active
19%
Broken
8%
Constituent Alignment
77%aligned
Legislative Participation
Attendance96%
Sponsored9
Cosponsored76
Transparency
85%disclosure
Community Confidence
70%confidence

Representation Gap

17%gap score
Border security modernization

Simulated constituent sentiment compared with this official's documented demo action on the issue.

A Representation Gap measures the difference between current verified community sentiment and a documented official action. It does not independently prove corruption, misconduct, or bad faith.

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Official Actions

Voted YES on border supplemental (simulated)Apr 2, 2026

Supported the package after securing detention-standards amendments. Simulated state sentiment: 66% in favor.

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Statement on AI framework (simulated)Jun 11, 2026

Endorsed the House AI accountability bill with defense-carve-out changes.

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Armed Services posture hearing (simulated)Mar 20, 2026

Questioned service chiefs on drone-defense procurement.

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Community sentiment from verified constituents — not an objective verdict.

Related Markets

No linked markets.

Sponsored Legislation

S. 77
Raise the federal minimum wage to $12.50, indexed to inflation
Failed
Photo: official congressional portrait, public domain, via the unitedstates.io archive. The official record cannot be changed by community voting. Corrections: see methodology.